The ACA would reduce the number of nonelderly people without health insurance by 28 million—from 18.9 to 8.7 percent. Of the 23 million still uninsured, 40 percent would be eligible for, but not enrolled in, Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP). A further 22 percent would be undocumented immigrants. The majority of those uninsured—19 of the 23 million—would be nonelderly adults:
- Thirty-seven percent—mostly young singles without dependents—would be eligible for Medicaid, but not enrolled.
- Twenty-five percent would be undocumented immigrants.
- Sixteen percent would be exempt from the individual mandate because they would not have an affordable insurance option.
- Eight percent would be eligible for affordable subsidized coverage in the health benefit exchanges.
- The remaining 15 percent—most higher-income families with dependents—would likely be subject to the mandate, having an affordable private insurance option despite not qualifying for a subsidy.
Who Will be Uninsured After Health Insurance Reform? - Robert Wood Johnson Foundation
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