Saturday, April 24, 2010

Health Care Cost Increase Is Projected for New Law - NYTimes.com

Health Care Cost Increase Is Projected for New Law - NYTimes.com


But Mr. Foster said, “Overall national health expenditures under the health reform act would increase by a total of $311 billion,” or nine-tenths of 1 percent, compared with the amounts that would otherwise be spent from 2010 to 2019.

In his report, sent to Congress Thursday night, Mr. Foster said that some provisions of the law, including cutbacks in Medicare payments to health care providers and a tax on high-cost employer-sponsored coverage, would slow the growth of health costs. But he said the savings “would be more than offset through 2019 by the higher health expenditures resulting from the coverage expansions.”

The report says that 34 million uninsured people will gain coverage under the law, but that 23 million people, including 5 million illegal immigrants, will still be uninsured in 2019.

Sounds like success to me. Uwe Reinhardt used to estimate it would cost an additional $100 billion a year to cover everyone. This doesn't seem to far off from that estimate.

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